Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Bienvenida: no list would have a majority, IPB largest

Bienvenida (Badajoz, 2,070 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

IPB±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 34.1% of the vote (2023: 33.5%) Majority 1%
PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 30.9% of the vote (2023: 35.2%) Majority 0%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 23.5% of the vote (2023: 24.8%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 10.6% of the vote (2023: 5.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. IPBLocal lists 33.5% → 34.1% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 35.2% → 30.9% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 24.8% → 23.5% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. VOXVox 5.6% → 10.6% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,416 valid votes including 13 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Bienvenida in size, in Badajoz

Every municipality in Badajoz → · All of Spain →