Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Santa María del Cubillo: PP would keep its majority

Santa María del Cubillo (Ávila, 305 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 69.5% of the vote (2023: 67.2%) Majority over 99%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 29.4% of the vote (2023: 31.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 67.2% → 69.5% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 31.8% → 29.4% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 274 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Santa María del Cubillo in size, in Ávila

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