España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Pedro Bernardo: PNTAV would keep its majority

Pedro Bernardo (Ávila, 797 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PNTAV±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 64.2% of the vote (2023: 62.4%) Majority over 99%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 24.8% of the vote (2023: 26.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PNTAVLocal lists 62.4% → 64.2% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 26.0% → 24.8% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. XAVLocal lists 9.9% → 10.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 0.9% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 543 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Pedro Bernardo in size, in Ávila

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