Mingorría: PP would keep its majority
Mingorría (Ávila, 385 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 77%PP majority
- 233valid votes in 2023 (73% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 49.8% of the vote (2023: 52.4%)
Majority 77%
PSOE±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 26.0% of the vote (2023: 30.5%)
Majority 0%
VOX±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 20.7% of the vote (2023: 13.7%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 23% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 52.4% → 49.8% 4 → 4 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 30.5% → 26.0% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 13.7% → 20.7% 1 → 1 councillors
- XAVLocal lists 3.4% → 3.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 233 valid votes including 0 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.