Casavieja: PP would win a majority
Casavieja (Ávila, 1,418 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 63%PP majority
- 841valid votes in 2023 (72% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP+1
5
councillors (2023: 4) · 49.3% of the vote (2023: 48.3%)
Majority 63%
PSOE−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 27.8% of the vote (2023: 30.3%)
Majority 0%
C.I.C±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 22.0% of the vote (2023: 20.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 37% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 48.3% → 49.3% 4 → 5 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 30.3% → 27.8% 3 → 2 councillors
- C.I.CLocal lists 20.5% → 22.0% 2 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 841 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.