Caso: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest
Caso (Asturias, 1,443 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 78%no list with a majority
- 937valid votes in 2023 (71% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 78% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Caso
Caso is a municipality in the province of Asturias with 1,443 inhabitants, the 50th largest of its 78 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 42.8% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS was second with 2. 70.9% of the 1,322 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 4 of 9.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 42.8% → 40.0% 5 → 4 councillors
- IU-MÁS PAÍS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 24.9% → 21.2% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 8.2% → 14.6% 0 → 1 councillors
- FORO ASTURIASLocal lists 10.9% → 11.6% 1 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 11.6% → 11.0% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 937 valid votes including 15 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.