España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Belmonte de Miranda: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Belmonte de Miranda (Asturias, 1,425 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 42.6% of the vote (2023: 47.1%) Majority 34%
ESPAÑA VACIADA±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 31.0% of the vote (2023: 30.1%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.4% of the vote (2023: 16.5%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 8.9% of the vote (2023: 4.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 66% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

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The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Belmonte de Miranda

Belmonte de Miranda is a municipality in the province of Asturias with 1,425 inhabitants, the 52nd largest of its 78 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 47.1% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; ESPAÑA VACIADA was second with 3. 77.2% of the 1,273 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 4 of 9.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 47.1% → 42.6% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. ESPAÑA VACIADALocal lists 30.1% → 31.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 16.5% → 15.4% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. VOXVox 4.3% → 8.9% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 983 valid votes including 20 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Belmonte de Miranda in size, in Asturias

Every municipality in Asturias → · All of Spain →