Samaniego: EH BILDU would keep its majority
Samaniego (Araba/Álava, 311 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- over 99%EH BILDU majority
- 177valid votes in 2023 (76% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EH BILDU+1
5
councillors (2023: 4) · 65.7% of the vote (2023: 59.3%)
Majority over 99%
EAJ-PNV−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 31.5% of the vote (2023: 37.3%)
Majority under 1%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 59.3% → 65.7% 4 → 5 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 37.3% → 31.5% 3 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 0.6% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 177 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.