Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Peñacerrada-Urizaharra: AMI/UEI would keep its majority

Peñacerrada-Urizaharra (Araba/Álava, 310 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

AMI/UEI+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 72.5% of the vote (2023: 65.6%) Majority over 99%
EAJ-PNV−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 22.4% of the vote (2023: 25.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. AMI/UEILocal lists 65.6% → 72.5% 5 → 6 councillors
  2. EAJ-PNVPNV 25.9% → 22.4% 2 → 1 councillors
  3. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 5.8% → 3.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. PPPP 2.1% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 189 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Peñacerrada-Urizaharra in size, in Araba/Álava

Every municipality in Araba/Álava → · All of Spain →