España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Laguardia: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Laguardia (Araba/Álava, 1,483 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 39.6% of the vote (2023: 38.3%) Majority 20%
EAJ-PNV±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 31.7% of the vote (2023: 36.8%) Majority 2%
EH BILDU±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 21.0% of the vote (2023: 18.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 77% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 38.3% → 39.6% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. EAJ-PNVPNV 36.8% → 31.7% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. EH BILDUEH Bildu 18.6% → 21.0% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 1.0% → 5.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 3.2% → 0.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 901 valid votes including 18 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Laguardia in size, in Araba/Álava

Every municipality in Araba/Álava → · All of Spain →