Kuartango: EH BILDU would win a majority
Kuartango (Araba/Álava, 421 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 57%EH BILDU majority
- 269valid votes in 2023 (80% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EH BILDU+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 45.6% of the vote (2023: 40.5%)
Majority 57%
EAJ-PNV−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 31.6% of the vote (2023: 36.8%)
Majority 3%
PP±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 11.5% of the vote (2023: 11.9%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 40% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 40.5% → 45.6% 3 → 4 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 36.8% → 31.6% 3 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 11.9% → 11.5% 1 → 1 councillors
- ANDAGOSTESLocal lists 9.7% → 10.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 0.4% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 269 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.