Barrundia: EH BILDU would keep its majority
Barrundia (Araba/Álava, 914 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- over 99%EH BILDU majority
- 434valid votes in 2023 (57% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Barrundia
Barrundia is a municipality in the province of Araba/Álava with 914 inhabitants, the 25th largest of its 51 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 EH BILDU came first with 61.1% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; EAJ-PNV was second with 2. 57.3% of the 758 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps EH BILDU on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 61.1% → 68.4% 5 → 5 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 27.9% → 23.8% 2 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 5.3% → 4.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 5.1% → 2.6% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 434 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.