España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Baños de Ebro/Mañueta: PP would keep its majority

Baños de Ebro/Mañueta (Araba/Álava, 296 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 63.0% of the vote (2023: 57.9%) Majority over 99%
EAJ-PNV±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 25.7% of the vote (2023: 28.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 57.9% → 63.0% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. EAJ-PNVPNV 28.7% → 25.7% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 9.9% → 7.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 202 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Baños de Ebro/Mañueta in size, in Araba/Álava

Every municipality in Araba/Álava → · All of Spain →