Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Zurgena: PP would keep its majority

Zurgena (Almería, 2,912 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
7 councillors (2023: 8) · 62.5% of the vote (2023: 63.6%) Majority 98%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 27.5% of the vote (2023: 31.2%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 9.1% of the vote (2023: 4.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 2% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 63.6% → 62.5% 8 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 31.2% → 27.5% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 4.4% → 9.1% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,361 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Zurgena in size, in Almería

Every municipality in Almería → · All of Spain →