Vélez-Rubio: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Vélez-Rubio (Almería, 6,528 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 72%no list with a majority
- 3,462valid votes in 2023 (72% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 72% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Vélez-Rubio
Vélez-Rubio is a municipality in the province of Almería with 6,528 inhabitants, the 18th largest of its 103 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 44.7% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 4. 71.7% of the 4,830 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 6 of 13.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 44.7% → 43.4% 7 → 6 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 31.6% → 27.7% 4 → 4 councillors
- UNIDOS POR VELEZ RUBIOLocal lists 18.0% → 18.5% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 4.5% → 9.3% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,462 valid votes including 38 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.