Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Garrucha: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Garrucha (Almería, 10,027 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
7 councillors (2023: 6) · 37.1% of the vote (2023: 37.1%) Majority 6%
PSOE−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 36.7% of the vote (2023: 39.7%) Majority 4%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.8% of the vote (2023: 5.5%) Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 8.1% of the vote (2023: 10.8%) Majority 0%
UCIN±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.2% of the vote (2023: 5.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 90% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 37.1% → 37.1% 6 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 39.7% → 36.7% 7 → 6 councillors
  3. VOXVox 5.5% → 10.8% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 10.8% → 8.1% 2 → 1 councillors
  5. UCINLocal lists 5.9% → 6.2% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,170 valid votes including 43 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Garrucha in size, in Almería

Every municipality in Almería → · All of Spain →