Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

El Ejido: PP would keep its majority

El Ejido (Almería, 87,500 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
13 councillors (2023: 14) · 44.2% of the vote (2023: 47.2%) Majority 56%
VOX+3
9 councillors (2023: 6) · 31.0% of the vote (2023: 22.2%) Majority 1%
PSOE−2
3 councillors (2023: 5) · 12.7% of the vote (2023: 16.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 43% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 47.2% → 44.2% 14 → 13 councillors
  2. VOXVox 22.2% → 31.0% 6 → 9 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 16.3% → 12.7% 5 → 3 councillors
  4. ALMLocal lists 3.9% → 3.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. V.DEELEJIDOLocal lists 2.7% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 2.3% → 2.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. ALMERÍA AVANZALocal lists 1.1% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 3.0% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 24,734 valid votes including 316 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near El Ejido in size, in Almería

Every municipality in Almería → · All of Spain →