Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Pilar de la Horadada: PP would keep its majority

Pilar de la Horadada (Alicante/Alacant, 22,949 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
13 councillors (2023: 14) · 60.2% of the vote (2023: 60.1%) Majority 99%
PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 23.7% of the vote (2023: 26.8%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
3 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.7% of the vote (2023: 7.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 60.1% → 60.2% 14 → 13 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 26.8% → 23.7% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.7% → 13.7% 1 → 3 councillors
  4. VPP-EUPV-PODEM: UNIDASSumar, Podemos and allies 3.4% → 1.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. ACUERDO PARA GANARSumar, Podemos and allies 0.9% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 7,520 valid votes including 82 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Pilar de la Horadada in size, in Alicante/Alacant

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