Orihuela: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Orihuela (Alicante/Alacant, 80,784 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 25councillors, 13 for a majority
- 92%no list with a majority
- 30,312valid votes in 2023 (65% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
10
councillors (2023: 10) · 37.1% of the vote (2023: 38.6%)
Majority 8%
VOX+2
6
councillors (2023: 4) · 21.5% of the vote (2023: 14.1%)
Majority 0%
PSOE−1
5
councillors (2023: 6) · 18.3% of the vote (2023: 21.9%)
Majority 0%
CS±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 11.2% of the vote (2023: 11.0%)
Majority 0%
ACUERDO PARA GANAR−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 5.3% of the vote (2023: 7.9%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 92% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 38.6% → 37.1% 10 → 10 councillors
- VOXVox 14.1% → 21.5% 4 → 6 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 21.9% → 18.3% 6 → 5 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 11.0% → 11.2% 3 → 3 councillors
- ACUERDO PARA GANARSumar, Podemos and allies 7.9% → 5.3% 2 → 1 councillors
- PIOCLocal lists 4.6% → 4.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- CONDORLocal lists 0.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- P.C.P.E.Local lists 0.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 30,312 valid votes including 326 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Orihuela in size, in Alicante/Alacant
- Torrevieja83,547 inhabitants · 25 councillors
- Benidorm69,738 inhabitants · 25 councillors
- San Vicente del Raspeig/Sant Vicent del Raspeig59,138 inhabitants · 25 councillors
- Alcoy/Alcoi58,960 inhabitants · 25 councillors
- Elda52,297 inhabitants · 25 councillors
- Dénia43,899 inhabitants · 21 councillors