Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

El Castell de Guadalest: PP would keep its majority

El Castell de Guadalest (Alicante/Alacant, 258 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 86.1% of the vote (2023: 82.0%) Majority over 99%
PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.3% of the vote (2023: 15.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 82.0% → 86.1% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 15.5% → 13.3% 1 → 1 councillors
  3. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 1.9% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 161 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near El Castell de Guadalest in size, in Alicante/Alacant

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