España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación
PollingForecast.com España
EN ES
Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Albacete

Casas-Ibáñez: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Casas-Ibáñez (Albacete, 4,547 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 39.3% of the vote (2023: 43.1%) Majority 24%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 22.1% of the vote (2023: 22.9%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 19.9% of the vote (2023: 12.5%) Majority 0%
UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.6% of the vote (2023: 13.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 76% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Casas-Ibáñez

Casas-Ibáñez is a municipality in the province of Albacete with 4,547 inhabitants, the 10th largest of its 87 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 43.1% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 3. 74% of the 3,349 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 43.1% → 39.3% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 22.9% → 22.1% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 12.5% → 19.9% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. UNIDAS - IU - PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 13.6% → 10.6% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 5.3% → 5.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,478 valid votes including 62 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Casas-Ibáñez in size, in Albacete

Every municipality in Albacete → · All of Spain →