Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Paderne: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Paderne (A Coruña, 2,420 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 45.0% of the vote (2023: 46.6%) Majority 31%
PSDEG-PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 36.4% of the vote (2023: 40.9%) Majority 2%
B.N.G.+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 17.4% of the vote (2023: 11.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 67% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Paderne

Paderne is a municipality in the province of A Coruña with 2,420 inhabitants, the 76th largest of its 93 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 46.6% of the vote and 5 seats; PSDEG-PSOE was second with 5. 76.5% of the 2,123 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 46.6% → 45.0% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 40.9% → 36.4% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. B.N.G.BNG 11.4% → 17.4% 1 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,624 valid votes including 19 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Paderne in size, in A Coruña

Every municipality in A Coruña → · All of Spain →