Carral: AV would keep its majority
Carral (A Coruña, 6,649 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 68%AV majority
- 3,938valid votes in 2023 (72% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 28% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Carral
Carral is a municipality in the province of A Coruña with 6,649 inhabitants, the 36th largest of its 93 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 AV came first with 48.1% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 5. 72.5% of the 5,434 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps AV on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 68% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- AVLocal lists 48.1% → 49.8% 7 → 7 councillors
- PPPP 36.5% → 35.5% 5 → 5 councillors
- PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 10.5% → 7.7% 1 → 1 councillors
- B.N.G.BNG 4.0% → 6.2% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,938 valid votes including 35 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.