España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

A Pobra do Caramiñal: no list would have a majority, PP largest

A Pobra do Caramiñal (A Coruña, 9,290 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 33.2% of the vote (2023: 36.5%) Majority 1%
B.N.G.+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 25.7% of the vote (2023: 17.8%) Majority 0%
NÓSPOBRA±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 22.3% of the vote (2023: 23.1%) Majority 0%
VIXP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.1% of the vote (2023: 9.4%) Majority 0%
PSDEG-PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.5% of the vote (2023: 12.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About A Pobra do Caramiñal

A Pobra do Caramiñal is a municipality in the province of A Coruña with 9,290 inhabitants, the 23rd largest of its 93 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 36.5% of the vote and 6 seats; NÓSPOBRA was second with 3. 67.2% of the 7,833 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 5 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 36.5% → 33.2% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. B.N.G.BNG 17.8% → 25.7% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. NÓSPOBRALocal lists 23.1% → 22.3% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. VIXPLocal lists 9.4% → 9.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 12.0% → 8.5% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,266 valid votes including 69 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near A Pobra do Caramiñal in size, in A Coruña

Every municipality in A Coruña → · All of Spain →