España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 20 días Mayoría absoluta de PP + Vox over 99% Bloque de la investidura de 2023 under 1% Calendario Historial Investigación
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Activity rate (LFS, annual mean) by province

Activity rate (LFS, annual mean) in every province in Spain: highest in Illes Balears (64.0%), lowest in Ourense (47.5%); the middle province is at 57.6%. Of the fifth of provinces where it is highest, our forecast has PP winning 6 of 10; where it is lowest, PP wins 9 of 10.

Araba/Álava: 56.7% Araba/Álava: 56.7% Araba/Álava: 56.7% Araba/Álava: 56.7% Gipuzkoa: 53.0% Gipuzkoa: 53.0% Gipuzkoa: 53.0% Gipuzkoa: 53.0% Gipuzkoa: 53.0% Gipuzkoa: 53.0% Bizkaia: 57.2% Bizkaia: 57.2% Bizkaia: 57.2% Bizkaia: 57.2% Bizkaia: 57.2% Bizkaia: 57.2% Bizkaia: 57.2% Bizkaia: 57.2% Albacete: 59.8% Albacete: 59.8% Albacete: 59.8% Albacete: 59.8% Ciudad Real: 55.7% Ciudad Real: 55.7% Ciudad Real: 55.7% Ciudad Real: 55.7% Ciudad Real: 55.7% Cuenca: 55.8% Cuenca: 55.8% Cuenca: 55.8% Guadalajara: 63.3% Guadalajara: 63.3% Guadalajara: 63.3% Toledo: 59.5% Toledo: 59.5% Toledo: 59.5% Toledo: 59.5% Toledo: 59.5% Toledo: 59.5% Alicante/Alacant: 57.6% Alicante/Alacant: 57.6% Alicante/Alacant: 57.6% Alicante/Alacant: 57.6% Alicante/Alacant: 57.6% Alicante/Alacant: 57.6% Alicante/Alacant: 57.6% Alicante/Alacant: 57.6% Alicante/Alacant: 57.6% Alicante/Alacant: 57.6% Alicante/Alacant: 57.6% Alicante/Alacant: 57.6% Castellón/Castelló: 60.5% Castellón/Castelló: 60.5% Castellón/Castelló: 60.5% Castellón/Castelló: 60.5% Castellón/Castelló: 60.5% Valencia/València: 59.1% Valencia/València: 59.1% Valencia/València: 59.1% Valencia/València: 59.1% Valencia/València: 59.1% Valencia/València: 59.1% Valencia/València: 59.1% Valencia/València: 59.1% Valencia/València: 59.1% Valencia/València: 59.1% Valencia/València: 59.1% Valencia/València: 59.1% Valencia/València: 59.1% Valencia/València: 59.1% Valencia/València: 59.1% Valencia/València: 59.1% Almería: 59.7% Almería: 59.7% Almería: 59.7% Almería: 59.7% Almería: 59.7% Almería: 59.7% Cádiz: 53.7% Cádiz: 53.7% Cádiz: 53.7% Cádiz: 53.7% Cádiz: 53.7% Cádiz: 53.7% Cádiz: 53.7% Cádiz: 53.7% Cádiz: 53.7% Córdoba: 57.3% Córdoba: 57.3% Córdoba: 57.3% Córdoba: 57.3% Córdoba: 57.3% Córdoba: 57.3% Granada: 55.9% Granada: 55.9% Granada: 55.9% Granada: 55.9% Granada: 55.9% Granada: 55.9% Granada: 55.9% Huelva: 57.4% Huelva: 57.4% Huelva: 57.4% Huelva: 57.4% Huelva: 57.4% Jaén: 52.3% Jaén: 52.3% Jaén: 52.3% Jaén: 52.3% Jaén: 52.3% Málaga: 59.9% Málaga: 59.9% Málaga: 59.9% Málaga: 59.9% Málaga: 59.9% Málaga: 59.9% Málaga: 59.9% Málaga: 59.9% Málaga: 59.9% Málaga: 59.9% Málaga: 59.9% Sevilla: 57.9% Sevilla: 57.9% Sevilla: 57.9% Sevilla: 57.9% Sevilla: 57.9% Sevilla: 57.9% Sevilla: 57.9% Sevilla: 57.9% Sevilla: 57.9% Sevilla: 57.9% Sevilla: 57.9% Sevilla: 57.9% Ávila: 50.8% Ávila: 50.8% Ávila: 50.8% Burgos: 56.4% Burgos: 56.4% Burgos: 56.4% Burgos: 56.4% León: 50.0% León: 50.0% León: 50.0% León: 50.0% Palencia: 52.2% Palencia: 52.2% Palencia: 52.2% Salamanca: 54.1% Salamanca: 54.1% Salamanca: 54.1% Salamanca: 54.1% Segovia: 57.6% Segovia: 57.6% Segovia: 57.6% Soria: 58.3% Soria: 58.3% Valladolid: 58.4% Valladolid: 58.4% Valladolid: 58.4% Valladolid: 58.4% Valladolid: 58.4% Zamora: 52.2% Zamora: 52.2% Zamora: 52.2% Badajoz: 55.8% Badajoz: 55.8% Badajoz: 55.8% Badajoz: 55.8% Badajoz: 55.8% Cáceres: 54.2% Cáceres: 54.2% Cáceres: 54.2% Cáceres: 54.2% Barcelona: 62.3% Barcelona: 62.3% Barcelona: 62.3% Barcelona: 62.3% Barcelona: 62.3% Barcelona: 62.3% Barcelona: 62.3% Barcelona: 62.3% Barcelona: 62.3% Barcelona: 62.3% Barcelona: 62.3% Barcelona: 62.3% Barcelona: 62.3% Barcelona: 62.3% Barcelona: 62.3% Barcelona: 62.3% Barcelona: 62.3% Barcelona: 62.3% Barcelona: 62.3% Barcelona: 62.3% Barcelona: 62.3% Barcelona: 62.3% Barcelona: 62.3% Barcelona: 62.3% Barcelona: 62.3% Barcelona: 62.3% Barcelona: 62.3% Barcelona: 62.3% Barcelona: 62.3% Barcelona: 62.3% Barcelona: 62.3% Barcelona: 62.3% Girona: 61.4% Girona: 61.4% Girona: 61.4% Girona: 61.4% Girona: 61.4% Girona: 61.4% Lleida: 61.0% Lleida: 61.0% Lleida: 61.0% Lleida: 61.0% Tarragona: 59.4% Tarragona: 59.4% Tarragona: 59.4% Tarragona: 59.4% Tarragona: 59.4% Tarragona: 59.4% A Coruña: 53.8% A Coruña: 53.8% A Coruña: 53.8% A Coruña: 53.8% A Coruña: 53.8% A Coruña: 53.8% A Coruña: 53.8% A Coruña: 53.8% Lugo: 51.8% Lugo: 51.8% Lugo: 51.8% Lugo: 51.8% Ourense: 47.5% Ourense: 47.5% Ourense: 47.5% Ourense: 47.5% Pontevedra: 55.9% Pontevedra: 55.9% Pontevedra: 55.9% Pontevedra: 55.9% Pontevedra: 55.9% Pontevedra: 55.9% Pontevedra: 55.9% Huesca: 59.5% Huesca: 59.5% Huesca: 59.5% Teruel: 58.9% Teruel: 58.9% Teruel: 58.9% Zaragoza: 58.3% Zaragoza: 58.3% Zaragoza: 58.3% Zaragoza: 58.3% Zaragoza: 58.3% Zaragoza: 58.3% Zaragoza: 58.3% La Rioja: 59.3% La Rioja: 59.3% La Rioja: 59.3% La Rioja: 59.3% Madrid: 63.3% Madrid: 63.3% Madrid: 63.3% Madrid: 63.3% Madrid: 63.3% Madrid: 63.3% Madrid: 63.3% Madrid: 63.3% Madrid: 63.3% Madrid: 63.3% Madrid: 63.3% Madrid: 63.3% Madrid: 63.3% Madrid: 63.3% Madrid: 63.3% Madrid: 63.3% Madrid: 63.3% Madrid: 63.3% Madrid: 63.3% Madrid: 63.3% Madrid: 63.3% Madrid: 63.3% Madrid: 63.3% Madrid: 63.3% Madrid: 63.3% Madrid: 63.3% Madrid: 63.3% Madrid: 63.3% Madrid: 63.3% Madrid: 63.3% Madrid: 63.3% Madrid: 63.3% Madrid: 63.3% Madrid: 63.3% Madrid: 63.3% Madrid: 63.3% Madrid: 63.3% Murcia: 60.0% Murcia: 60.0% Murcia: 60.0% Murcia: 60.0% Murcia: 60.0% Murcia: 60.0% Murcia: 60.0% Murcia: 60.0% Murcia: 60.0% Murcia: 60.0% Navarra: 59.0% Navarra: 59.0% Navarra: 59.0% Navarra: 59.0% Navarra: 59.0% Asturias: 52.7% Asturias: 52.7% Asturias: 52.7% Asturias: 52.7% Asturias: 52.7% Asturias: 52.7% Asturias: 52.7% Cantabria: 55.5% Cantabria: 55.5% Cantabria: 55.5% Cantabria: 55.5% Cantabria: 55.5% Illes Balears: 64.0% Illes Balears: 64.0% Illes Balears: 64.0% Illes Balears: 64.0% Illes Balears: 64.0% Illes Balears: 64.0% Illes Balears: 64.0% Illes Balears: 64.0% Ceuta: 61.1% Melilla: 54.9% Santa Cruz de Tenerife: 58.8% Santa Cruz de Tenerife: 58.8% Santa Cruz de Tenerife: 58.8% Santa Cruz de Tenerife: 58.8% Santa Cruz de Tenerife: 58.8% Santa Cruz de Tenerife: 58.8% Santa Cruz de Tenerife: 58.8% Las Palmas: 61.1% Las Palmas: 61.1% Las Palmas: 61.1% Las Palmas: 61.1% Las Palmas: 61.1% Las Palmas: 61.1% Las Palmas: 61.1% Las Palmas: 61.1%
  • 47.5% – 53.8% (10)
  • 53.8% – 56.4% (10)
  • 56.4% – 58.4% (10)
  • 58.4% – 59.8% (10)
  • 59.8% – 64.0% (12)
One hexagon per province, each the same size. Grey: no figure held.

Explore it on the interactive map →

Highest: the top 15

#ProvinceActivity rate (LFS, annual mean)Projected
1 Illes Balears 64.0%PP
2 Guadalajara 63.3%PP
3 Madrid 63.3%PP
4 Barcelona 62.3%PSOE
5 Girona 61.4%PSOE
6 Las Palmas 61.1%PSOE
7 Ceuta 61.1%PP
8 Lleida 61.0%PSOE
9 Castellón/Castelló 60.5%PP
10 Murcia 60.0%PP
11 Málaga 59.9%PP
12 Albacete 59.8%PP
13 Almería 59.7%PP
14 Toledo 59.5%PP
15 Huesca 59.5%PP

Lowest: the bottom 15

#ProvinceActivity rate (LFS, annual mean)Projected
52 Ourense 47.5%PP
51 León 50.0%PP
50 Ávila 50.8%PP
49 Lugo 51.8%PP
48 Zamora 52.2%PP
47 Palencia 52.2%PP
46 Jaén 52.3%PP
45 Asturias 52.7%PP
44 Gipuzkoa 53.0%EH Bildu
43 Cádiz 53.7%PP
42 A Coruña 53.8%PP
41 Salamanca 54.1%PP
40 Cáceres 54.2%PP
39 Melilla 54.9%PP
38 Cantabria 55.5%PP
Every province (52), highest first
#ProvinceRegionActivity rate (LFS, annual mean)Projected
1 Illes Balears Illes Balears64.0%PP
2 Guadalajara Castilla-La Mancha63.3%PP
3 Madrid Comunidad de Madrid63.3%PP
4 Barcelona Cataluña62.3%PSOE
5 Girona Cataluña61.4%PSOE
6 Las Palmas Canarias61.1%PSOE
7 Ceuta Ceuta61.1%PP
8 Lleida Cataluña61.0%PSOE
9 Castellón/Castelló Comunitat Valenciana60.5%PP
10 Murcia Región de Murcia60.0%PP
11 Málaga Andalucía59.9%PP
12 Albacete Castilla-La Mancha59.8%PP
13 Almería Andalucía59.7%PP
14 Toledo Castilla-La Mancha59.5%PP
15 Huesca Aragón59.5%PP
16 Tarragona Cataluña59.4%PSOE
17 La Rioja La Rioja59.3%PP
18 Valencia/València Comunitat Valenciana59.1%PP
19 Navarra Comunidad Foral de Navarra59.0%PSOE
20 Teruel Aragón58.9%PP
21 Santa Cruz de Tenerife Canarias58.8%PP
22 Valladolid Castilla y León58.4%PP
23 Soria Castilla y León58.3%PP
24 Zaragoza Aragón58.3%PP
25 Sevilla Andalucía57.9%PP
26 Alicante/Alacant Comunitat Valenciana57.6%PP
27 Segovia Castilla y León57.6%PP
28 Huelva Andalucía57.4%PP
29 Córdoba Andalucía57.3%PP
30 Bizkaia País Vasco57.2%PSOE
31 Araba/Álava País Vasco56.7%PSOE
32 Burgos Castilla y León56.4%PP
33 Granada Andalucía55.9%PP
34 Pontevedra Galicia55.9%PP
35 Badajoz Extremadura55.8%PP
36 Cuenca Castilla-La Mancha55.8%PP
37 Ciudad Real Castilla-La Mancha55.7%PP
38 Cantabria Cantabria55.5%PP
39 Melilla Melilla54.9%PP
40 Cáceres Extremadura54.2%PP
41 Salamanca Castilla y León54.1%PP
42 A Coruña Galicia53.8%PP
43 Cádiz Andalucía53.7%PP
44 Gipuzkoa País Vasco53.0%EH Bildu
45 Asturias Principado de Asturias52.7%PP
46 Jaén Andalucía52.3%PP
47 Palencia Castilla y León52.2%PP
48 Zamora Castilla y León52.2%PP
49 Lugo Galicia51.8%PP
50 Ávila Castilla y León50.8%PP
51 León Castilla y León50.0%PP
52 Ourense Galicia47.5%PP