Polls · Next Bundestag election
Ipsos Deutschland, 4 October 2026
Ipsos Deutschland has SPD ahead of CDU/CSU by 8 points, 28% to 20%. Since its previous poll (31 August 2026): SPD +16 (12 → 28), AfD −14 (27 → 13), Greens −3 (15 → 12).
| Fieldwork | 30 September 2026 – 4 October 2026 |
|---|---|
| Published | 8 October 2026 |
| For | SPIEGEL |
| Sample | – |
| Method | online |
| Release | release |
| In our average | No: a newer poll by this pollster counts instead, or it is older than the window |
Main
| % | |
|---|---|
 SPD |
28 |
 CDU/CSU |
20 |
 Linke |
15 |
 AfD |
13 |
 Greens |
12 |
| Others | 5 |
 FDP |
4 |
 BSW |
3 |
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 7 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it: AfD 13% against 28%; SPD 28% against 14%.