Canada General election15 Oct 2029in 1,079 days Liberal majority over 99% No majority under 1% Calendar Track record Research
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Polls · Next federal election

Liaison Strategies, 17 October 2026

Liaison Strategies has Liberal ahead of Conservative by 15 points, 45% to 30%. Since its previous poll (10 October 2026): Conservative +1 (29 → 30), NDP −1 (15 → 14).

Fieldwork17 October 2026 – 17 October 2026
Sample1,000
MethodIVR
Release release
In our averageNo: a newer poll by this pollster counts instead, or it is older than the window

Decided and leaning voters, as published. We rescale the parties to 100 before averaging.

Main

%
Mark CarneyLiberal 45
Pierre PoilievreConservative 30
Avi LewisNDP 14
Yves-François BlanchetBloc 6
Elizabeth MayGreen 2
Maxime BernierPPC 2
Others 1

Against the other polls

Against the median of the 5 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it: NDP 14% against 9%; Liberal 45% against 48%.

Liaison Strategies's previous poll, 10 October 2026 →

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