Polls · Next federal election
Abacus Data, 13 October 2026
Abacus Data has Liberal ahead of Conservative by 12 points, 46% to 34%. Since its previous poll (23 September 2026): Green +1 (2 → 3).
| Fieldwork | 2 October 2026 – 13 October 2026 |
|---|---|
| Published | 14 October 2026 |
| Sample | 3,197 |
| Method | online panel |
| Release | release |
| In our average | Yes: it is this pollster's latest |
Abacus Data post: committed voters, read from the post text
Decided and leaning voters, as published. We rescale the parties to 100 before averaging.
Main
| % | |
|---|---|
 Liberal |
46 |
 Conservative |
34 |
 NDP |
9 |
 Bloc |
7 |
 Green |
3 |
 PPC |
1 |
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 2 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it: Conservative 34% against 29.3%; NDP 9% against 13.1%.