Netherlands General election15 May 2030in 1,290 days PRO largest party 88% D66 + VVD + CDA reach 76 0% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com Netherlands
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Netherlands · The threshold

DENK and BBB on the edge of the Netherlands' threshold

To win seats a party needs one full seat: 1/150 of the vote (0.67%). There is no other threshold: any list with a full seat's worth of votes (the kiesdeler) is in.

Every party against the line

  1. PRO17.79% on our projection over 99% to clear it
  2. PVV13.15% on our projection over 99% to clear it
  3. JA2111.96% on our projection over 99% to clear it
  4. D6610.44% on our projection over 99% to clear it
  5. VVD9.61% on our projection over 99% to clear it
  6. CDA8.32% on our projection over 99% to clear it
  7. FvD8.23% on our projection over 99% to clear it
  8. PvdD3.56% on our projection over 99% to clear it
  9. 50PLUS3.53% on our projection over 99% to clear it
  10. SP2.87% on our projection over 99% to clear it
  11. CU2.50% on our projection 99% to clear it
  12. SGP2.38% on our projection 99% to clear it
  13. Volt2.38% on our projection 99% to clear it
  14. DENK1.75% on our projection 93% to clear it
  15. BBB1.38% on our projection 85% to clear it

The black line marks the threshold. The chance allows for how far final polls usually miss for a party of that size (about a point at 5%) as if the election were held today; months out, polls move more than that. Our projection → · Build a coalition →