New electoral law Our forecast now uses Italy's new electoral law, approved on 8 October 2026: no single-member seats, and 70 extra deputies and 35 extra senators for a coalition that comes first with 42% of the vote. The maps show which coalition leads in each former collegio; those are no longer seats. What changed →
Polls · Next general election
Only Numbers, 15 October 2026
Only Numbers has FdI ahead of PD by 7.8 points, 27.8% to 20%. Since its previous poll (8 October 2026) no party has moved by a point or more.
| Fieldwork | 14 October 2026 – 15 October 2026 |
|---|---|
| Sample | 800 |
| Method | – |
| Release | |
| In our average | Yes: it is this pollster's latest |
Main
| % | |
|---|---|
 FdI |
27.8 |
 PD |
20 |
 M5S |
11.1 |
 FI |
7.7 |
| FN | 6.8 |
 AVS |
6.6 |
 Lega |
6 |
| Others | 5.4 |
 Azione |
3.3 |
 IV |
2.3 |
 +Europa |
1.4 |
 NM |
1 |
| ScN | 0.6 |
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 7 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it: M5S 11.1% against 12.7%.