New electoral law Our forecast now uses Italy's new electoral law, approved on 8 October 2026: no single-member seats, and 70 extra deputies and 35 extra senators for a coalition that comes first with 42% of the vote. The maps show which coalition leads in each former collegio; those are no longer seats. What changed →
Polls · Next general election
Termometro Politico, 15 October 2026
Termometro Politico has FdI ahead of PD by 6.4 points, 27.5% to 21.1%. Since its previous poll (8 October 2026) no party has moved by a point or more.
| Fieldwork | 13 October 2026 – 15 October 2026 |
|---|---|
| Sample | 2,400 |
| Method | CAWI (online) |
| Release | release |
| In our average | Yes: it is this pollster's latest |
Main
| % | |
|---|---|
 FdI |
27.5 |
 PD |
21.1 |
 M5S |
12.5 |
 FI |
7.5 |
| FN | 7.3 |
 AVS |
6.3 |
 Lega |
5.3 |
| Others | 4.2 |
 Azione |
3 |
 IV |
2.4 |
 +Europa |
1.8 |
 NM |
1.1 |
Against the other polls
Its figures are within a point and a half of the median of the 7 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it.