New electoral law Our forecast now uses Italy's new electoral law, approved on 8 October 2026: no single-member seats, and 70 extra deputies and 35 extra senators for a coalition that comes first with 42% of the vote. The maps show which coalition leads in each former collegio; those are no longer seats. What changed →
Polls · Next general election
Only Numbers, 8 October 2026
Only Numbers has FdI ahead of PD by 8 points, 27.5% to 19.5%. Since its previous poll (1 October 2026) no party has moved by a point or more.
| Fieldwork | 7 October 2026 – 8 October 2026 |
|---|---|
| Sample | 800 |
| Method | – |
| Release | |
| In our average | No: a newer poll by this pollster counts instead, or it is older than the window |
Main
| % | |
|---|---|
 FdI |
27.5 |
 PD |
19.5 |
 M5S |
11.7 |
 FI |
7.5 |
| FN | 7 |
 AVS |
6.8 |
 Lega |
6.3 |
| Others | 5 |
 Azione |
3.3 |
 IV |
2.3 |
 +Europa |
2 |
 NM |
1.1 |
Against the other polls
Its figures are within a point and a half of the median of the 12 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it.