France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 158 days Le Pen wins 96% Philippe wins 3% Calendar Track record Research
Closest
Polls · Presidential 2027, round one

Cluster17, 10 November 2026

Cluster17 has Marine Le Pen ahead of Jean-Luc Mélenchon by 10.5 points, 30.5% to 20%. Since its previous poll (22 October 2026): Édouard Philippe −2.5 (16 → 13.5), Marine Le Pen −2.4 (32.9 → 30.5), Raphaël Glucksmann −2.1 (13.1 → 11).

Fieldwork9 November 2026 – 10 November 2026
Sample1,242
Methodonline self-administered panel (notices 2022-2026)
Release release
In our averageYes: it is this pollster's latest

Every poll published in France must file a notice with the Commission des sondages setting out its sample, dates, question wording and weighting.

H1: Arthaud, Mélenchon, Roussel, Tondelier, Glucksmann, Philippe, Lisnard, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Le Pen, Zemmour

%
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen 30.5
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon 20
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe 13.5
Raphaël GlucksmannRaphaël Glucksmann 11
David LisnardDavid Lisnard 10
Bruno RetailleauBruno Retailleau 5
Nicolas Dupont-AignanNicolas Dupont-Aignan 3
Éric ZemmourÉric Zemmour 3
Fabien RousselFabien Roussel 2
Marine TondelierMarine Tondelier 1.5
Nathalie ArthaudNathalie Arthaud 0.5

Against the other polls

Cluster17's previous poll, 22 October 2026 →

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