France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 163 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
Closest
Polls · Presidential 2027, round two

Ifop, 19 October 2026

Ifop has Marine Le Pen ahead of Jean-Luc Mélenchon by 36 points, 68% to 32%. Since its previous poll (25 August 2026): Marine Le Pen +1 (67 → 68), Jean-Luc Mélenchon −1 (33 → 32).

Fieldwork17 October 2026 – 19 October 2026
Published20 October 2026
ForLCI, Le Figaro et Sud Radio
Sample1,928
MethodOnline
Release release
In our averageNo: a newer poll by this pollster counts instead, or it is older than the window

Commission des sondages notice: 10327 Pres Barometre election V7 IFOP 20 octobre Round-one line-up (Arthaud, Mélenchon, Roussel, Ruffin, Tondelier, Glucksmann, Attal, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Le Pen, Zemmour) left out: unknown candidate Natacha Polony

Every poll published in France must file a notice with the Commission des sondages setting out its sample, dates, question wording and weighting.

Le Pen v Mélenchon

%
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen 68
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon 32

Le Pen v Glucksmann

%
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen 57
Raphaël GlucksmannRaphaël Glucksmann 43

Le Pen v Hollande

%
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen 59
François HollandeFrançois Hollande 41

Le Pen v Attal

%
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen 58
Gabriel AttalGabriel Attal 42

Le Pen v Philippe

%
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen 56
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe 44

Against the other polls

Its figures are within a point and a half of the median of the 5 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it.

Ifop's previous poll, 25 August 2026 →

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