Ifop, 19 October 2026

Ifop has Marine Le Pen ahead of Jean-Luc Mélenchon by 19.5 points, 36% to 16.5%. Since its previous poll (14 October 2026): Marine Le Pen +4 (32 → 36), Raphaël Glucksmann +2 (11.5 → 13.5), Édouard Philippe −1 (13 → 12).

Fieldwork	17 October 2026 – 19 October 2026
Published	20 October 2026
For	LCI, Le Figaro et Sud Radio
Sample	1,928
Method	Online
Release	release
In our average	No: a newer poll by this pollster counts instead, or it is older than the window

Commission des sondages notice: 10327 Pres Barometre election V7 IFOP 20 octobre Round-one line-up (Arthaud, Mélenchon, Roussel, Ruffin, Tondelier, Glucksmann, Attal, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Le Pen, Zemmour) left out: unknown candidate Natacha Polony

Every poll published in France must file a notice with the Commission des sondages setting out its sample, dates, question wording and weighting.

H1: Arthaud, Mélenchon, Roussel, Tondelier, Glucksmann, Attal, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Le Pen, Zemmour

	%
Marine Le Pen	36
Jean-Luc Mélenchon	16.5
Raphaël Glucksmann	13.5
Édouard Philippe	12
Gabriel Attal	5
Bruno Retailleau	5
Éric Zemmour	3.5
Fabien Roussel	3
Marine Tondelier	3
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan	2
Nathalie Arthaud	0.5

H2: Arthaud, Mélenchon, Roussel, Tondelier, Glucksmann, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Le Pen, Zemmour

	%
Marine Le Pen	36
Jean-Luc Mélenchon	16.5
Édouard Philippe	15
Raphaël Glucksmann	14
Bruno Retailleau	7.5
Éric Zemmour	3.5
Marine Tondelier	3
Fabien Roussel	2.5
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan	1.5
Nathalie Arthaud	0.5

H3: Arthaud, Mélenchon, Roussel, Tondelier, Glucksmann, Attal, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Le Pen, Zemmour

	%
Marine Le Pen	38
Jean-Luc Mélenchon	16
Raphaël Glucksmann	16
Gabriel Attal	13
Bruno Retailleau	7
Marine Tondelier	3
Éric Zemmour	3
Fabien Roussel	2
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan	1.5
Nathalie Arthaud	0.5

H4: Arthaud, Mélenchon, Glucksmann, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Le Pen, Zemmour

	%
Marine Le Pen	37
Jean-Luc Mélenchon	18
Raphaël Glucksmann	16
Édouard Philippe	16
Bruno Retailleau	6.5
Éric Zemmour	3.5
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan	2.5
Nathalie Arthaud	0.5

H5: Arthaud, Mélenchon, Hollande, Attal, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Le Pen, Zemmour

	%
Marine Le Pen	38
Jean-Luc Mélenchon	20
Édouard Philippe	14
François Hollande	10
Gabriel Attal	6.5
Bruno Retailleau	6
Éric Zemmour	3
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan	2
Nathalie Arthaud	0.5

H6: Arthaud, Mélenchon, Roussel, Ruffin, Tondelier, Glucksmann, Attal, Philippe, Villepin, Retailleau, Lisnard, Dupont-Aignan, Le Pen, Zemmour

	%
Marine Le Pen	34
Jean-Luc Mélenchon	15
Raphaël Glucksmann	12
Édouard Philippe	12
Bruno Retailleau	5.5
David Lisnard	5.5
Gabriel Attal	4
Éric Zemmour	3
Marine Tondelier	2.5
Fabien Roussel	2
François Ruffin	1.5
Dominique de Villepin	1.5
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan	1.5
Nathalie Arthaud	–

H7: Arthaud, Mélenchon, Roussel, Tondelier, Glucksmann, Attal, Philippe, Lisnard, Dupont-Aignan, Le Pen, Zemmour

	%
Marine Le Pen	36
Jean-Luc Mélenchon	15.5
Raphaël Glucksmann	13
Édouard Philippe	13
David Lisnard	7
Gabriel Attal	5
Marine Tondelier	3
Éric Zemmour	3
Fabien Roussel	2
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan	2
Nathalie Arthaud	0.5

Against the other polls

Against the median of the 8 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it: Marine Le Pen 36% against 33.3%; Édouard Philippe 12% against 14%.

Ifop's previous poll, 14 October 2026 →