Polls · Presidential 2027, round one
Ifop, 14 October 2026
Ifop has Marine Le Pen ahead of Jean-Luc Mélenchon by 16 points, 32% to 16%. Since its previous poll (29 September 2026): Édouard Philippe −3 (16 → 13), Jean-Luc Mélenchon +1 (15 → 16).
| Fieldwork | 12 October 2026 – 14 October 2026 |
|---|
| Sample | 1,525 |
|---|
| Method | online self-administered panel (notices 2017-2026) |
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| Release | release |
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| In our average | Yes: it is this pollster's latest |
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Every poll published in France must file a notice with the Commission des sondages setting out its sample, dates, question wording and weighting.
H1: Mélenchon, Roussel, Ruffin, Tondelier, Glucksmann, Attal, Philippe, de Villepin, Retailleau, Lisnard, Dupont-Aignan, Le Pen, Zemmour
| % | |
|---|
 Marine Le Pen |
32 |
|
 Jean-Luc Mélenchon |
16 |
|
 Édouard Philippe |
13 |
|
 Raphaël Glucksmann |
11.5 |
|
 David Lisnard |
6 |
|
 Gabriel Attal |
5 |
|
 Bruno Retailleau |
5 |
|
 Éric Zemmour |
3 |
|
 Fabien Roussel |
2 |
|
 François Ruffin |
2 |
|
 Marine Tondelier |
2 |
|
 Dominique de Villepin |
1.5 |
|
 Nicolas Dupont-Aignan |
1 |
|
H2: Arthaud, Mélenchon, Roussel, Tondelier, Glucksmann, Attal, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Le Pen, Zemmour
| % | |
|---|
| Marine Le Pen |
36 |
|
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon |
17 |
|
| Raphaël Glucksmann |
16 |
|
| Gabriel Attal |
13 |
|
| Bruno Retailleau |
8 |
|
| Éric Zemmour |
3 |
|
| Fabien Roussel |
2.5 |
|
| Marine Tondelier |
2 |
|
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan |
2 |
|
 Nathalie Arthaud |
0.5 |
|
H3: Arthaud, Mélenchon, Roussel, Tondelier, Glucksmann, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Le Pen, Zemmour
| % | |
|---|
| Marine Le Pen |
35 |
|
| Édouard Philippe |
18 |
|
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon |
16 |
|
| Raphaël Glucksmann |
13.5 |
|
| Bruno Retailleau |
6.5 |
|
| Fabien Roussel |
3 |
|
| Éric Zemmour |
3 |
|
| Marine Tondelier |
2.5 |
|
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan |
2 |
|
| Nathalie Arthaud |
0.5 |
|
H4: Mélenchon, Roussel, Tondelier, Glucksmann, Attal, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Le Pen, Zemmour
| % | |
|---|
| Marine Le Pen |
34 |
|
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon |
16 |
|
| Raphaël Glucksmann |
14 |
|
| Édouard Philippe |
14 |
|
| Bruno Retailleau |
6.5 |
|
| Gabriel Attal |
6 |
|
| Éric Zemmour |
3 |
|
| Fabien Roussel |
2.5 |
|
| Marine Tondelier |
2 |
|
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan |
2 |
|
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 4 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it: Marine Le Pen 32% against 33.8%; Édouard Philippe 13% against 14.8%.
Ifop's previous poll, 29 September 2026 →
