France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 163 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
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Polls · Presidential 2027, round two

OpinionWay, 22 October 2026

OpinionWay has Marine Le Pen ahead of Édouard Philippe by 12 points, 56% to 44%. Since its previous poll (14 October 2026): Marine Le Pen −12 (68 → 56).

Fieldwork21 October 2026 – 22 October 2026
ForCNEWS
Sample973
MethodOnline
Release release
In our averageNo: a newer poll by this pollster counts instead, or it is older than the window

OpinionWay report (https://www.opinion-way.com/fr/publications/les-intentions-de-vote-a-lelection-presidentielle-de-2027-vague-3-2026-24596/); published figures only (raw figures are in the Commission notice)

Every poll published in France must file a notice with the Commission des sondages setting out its sample, dates, question wording and weighting.

Le Pen v Philippe

%
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen 56
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe 44

Le Pen v Mélenchon

%
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen 69
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon 31

Le Pen v Glucksmann

%
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen 56
Raphaël GlucksmannRaphaël Glucksmann 44

Against the other polls

Against the median of the 4 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it: Marine Le Pen 56% against 68.5%.

OpinionWay's previous poll, 14 October 2026 →

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