Polls · Presidential 2027, round one
OpinionWay, 22 October 2026
OpinionWay has Marine Le Pen ahead of Jean-Luc Mélenchon by 20 points, 36% to 16%. Since its previous poll (14 October 2026): Marine Le Pen +1 (35 → 36), Jean-Luc Mélenchon +1 (15 → 16).
| Fieldwork | 21 October 2026 – 22 October 2026 |
|---|---|
| For | CNEWS |
| Sample | 973 |
| Method | Online |
| Release | release |
| In our average | Yes: it is this pollster's latest |
OpinionWay report (https://www.opinion-way.com/fr/publications/les-intentions-de-vote-a-lelection-presidentielle-de-2027-vague-3-2026-24596/); published figures only (raw figures are in the Commission notice)
Every poll published in France must file a notice with the Commission des sondages setting out its sample, dates, question wording and weighting.
H1: Arthaud, Mélenchon, Roussel, Tondelier, Glucksmann, Bouamrane, Attal, Philippe, Retailleau, Lisnard, Dupont-Aignan, Zemmour, Le Pen
| % | |
|---|---|
 Marine Le Pen |
36 |
 Jean-Luc Mélenchon |
16 |
 Raphaël Glucksmann |
13 |
 Édouard Philippe |
12 |
 Bruno Retailleau |
6 |
 David Lisnard |
6 |
 Gabriel Attal |
4 |
 Éric Zemmour |
4 |
 Fabien Roussel |
1 |
 Marine Tondelier |
1 |
 Nicolas Dupont-Aignan |
1 |
 Nathalie Arthaud |
– |
 Karim Bouamrane |
– |
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 7 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it: Marine Le Pen 36% against 33%; Édouard Philippe 12% against 15%.