Polls · Presidential 2027, round one
OpinionWay, 14 October 2026
OpinionWay has Marine Le Pen ahead of Jean-Luc Mélenchon by 20 points, 35% to 15%. Since its previous poll (10 September 2026): Édouard Philippe −4 (16 → 12), Marine Le Pen +3 (32 → 35), Jean-Luc Mélenchon −1 (16 → 15).
| Fieldwork | 13 October 2026 – 14 October 2026 |
|---|---|
| Published | 15 October 2026 |
| For | Cnews |
| Sample | 978 |
| Method | Online |
| Release | release |
| In our average | Yes: it is this pollster's latest |
Commission des sondages notice: 10319 Pres IV OPINIONWAY Cnews 15 octobre Share = published (Publié) figure; RawShare = raw (Brut) figure among those certain to vote
Every poll published in France must file a notice with the Commission des sondages setting out its sample, dates, question wording and weighting.
H1: Arthaud, Mélenchon, Roussel, Tondelier, Glucksmann, Bouamrane, Attal, Philippe, Retailleau, Lisnard, Dupont-Aignan, Zemmour, Le Pen
| % | Raw | |
|---|---|---|
 Marine Le Pen |
35 | 37 |
 Jean-Luc Mélenchon |
15 | 12 |
 Raphaël Glucksmann |
13 | 14 |
 Édouard Philippe |
12 | 13 |
 Bruno Retailleau |
6 | 6 |
 Gabriel Attal |
5 | 5 |
 Éric Zemmour |
5 | 3 |
 David Lisnard |
4 | 4 |
 Marine Tondelier |
2 | 2 |
 Nathalie Arthaud |
1 | 1 |
 Fabien Roussel |
1 | 2 |
 Nicolas Dupont-Aignan |
1 | 1 |
 Karim Bouamrane |
– |
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 4 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it: Marine Le Pen 35% against 32.3%; Édouard Philippe 12% against 14.8%.