France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 163 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
Closest
Polls · Presidential 2027, round one

YouGov, 15 October 2026

YouGov has Marine Le Pen ahead of Jean-Luc Mélenchon by 21 points, 36% to 15%. Since its previous poll (21 September 2026): Raphaël Glucksmann +3 (9 → 12), Édouard Philippe −3 (13 → 10), Jean-Luc Mélenchon −2 (17 → 15).

Fieldwork12 October 2026 – 15 October 2026
Published18 October 2026
ForLe HuffPost
Sample976
MethodOnline
Release release
In our averageYes: it is this pollster's latest

Read automatically from Commission des sondages notice 2340 (10323 Pres IV YOUGOV Le HuffPost 18 octobre)

Every poll published in France must file a notice with the Commission des sondages setting out its sample, dates, question wording and weighting.

H1: Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Tondelier, Glucksmann, Attal, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Le Pen, Zemmour

% Raw
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen 36 41
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon 15 13
Raphaël GlucksmannRaphaël Glucksmann 12 12
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe 10 9
Bruno RetailleauBruno Retailleau 6 6
Gabriel AttalGabriel Attal 6 5
Marine TondelierMarine Tondelier 6 5
Éric ZemmourÉric Zemmour 3 3
Fabien RousselFabien Roussel 3 2
Nicolas Dupont-AignanNicolas Dupont-Aignan 3 3
Nathalie ArthaudNathalie Arthaud 0 1

H2: Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Tondelier, Glucksmann, Attal, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Le Pen, Zemmour

% Raw
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen 37 42
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon 15 13
Raphaël GlucksmannRaphaël Glucksmann 14 13
Gabriel AttalGabriel Attal 10 8
Bruno RetailleauBruno Retailleau 9 8
Marine TondelierMarine Tondelier 6 5
Éric ZemmourÉric Zemmour 4 4
Fabien RousselFabien Roussel 3 3
Nicolas Dupont-AignanNicolas Dupont-Aignan 3 3
Nathalie ArthaudNathalie Arthaud 0 1

H3: Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Tondelier, Glucksmann, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Le Pen, Zemmour

% Raw
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen 36 42
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon 15 13
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe 13 11
Raphaël GlucksmannRaphaël Glucksmann 13 12
Bruno RetailleauBruno Retailleau 7 7
Marine TondelierMarine Tondelier 6 5
Éric ZemmourÉric Zemmour 3 3
Fabien RousselFabien Roussel 3 3
Nicolas Dupont-AignanNicolas Dupont-Aignan 3 3
Nathalie ArthaudNathalie Arthaud 0 1

H4: Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Tondelier, Hollande, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Le Pen, Zemmour

% Raw
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen 37 43
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon 16 14
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe 15 13
François HollandeFrançois Hollande 9 8
Bruno RetailleauBruno Retailleau 7 7
Marine TondelierMarine Tondelier 6 6
Éric ZemmourÉric Zemmour 4 4
Fabien RousselFabien Roussel 3 3
Nicolas Dupont-AignanNicolas Dupont-Aignan 3 3
Nathalie ArthaudNathalie Arthaud 1 1

H5: Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Ruffin, Tondelier, Glucksmann, Attal, Philippe, Villepin, Lisnard, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Le Pen, Zemmour

% Raw
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen 35 40
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon 13 11
Raphaël GlucksmannRaphaël Glucksmann 12 11
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe 8 8
Gabriel AttalGabriel Attal 6 4
Bruno RetailleauBruno Retailleau 5 5
Marine TondelierMarine Tondelier 5 4
Éric ZemmourÉric Zemmour 4 3
David LisnardDavid Lisnard 4 5
Fabien RousselFabien Roussel 2 2
Nicolas Dupont-AignanNicolas Dupont-Aignan 2 2
François RuffinFrançois Ruffin 2 2
Dominique de VillepinDominique de Villepin 1 2
Nathalie ArthaudNathalie Arthaud 0 1

Against the other polls

Against the median of the 10 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it: Édouard Philippe 10% against 13%; Marine Le Pen 36% against 33.3%.

YouGov's previous poll, 21 September 2026 →

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