Elabe, 16 October 2026
Elabe has Marine Le Pen ahead of Jean-Luc Mélenchon by 38 points, 69% to 31%. Since its previous poll (28 August 2026) no party has moved by a point or more.
| Fieldwork | 14 October 2026 – 16 October 2026 |
|---|---|
| Published | 17 October 2026 |
| For | BFMTV et La Tribune Dimanche |
| Sample | 1,553 |
| Method | Online |
| Release | release |
| In our average | No: a newer poll by this pollster counts instead, or it is older than the window |
Elabe report (https://elabe.fr/presidentielle-2027-octobre/). Round-one line-up (Tondelier, Glucksmann, Philippe, Villepin, Retailleau, Le Pen, Zemmour) left out: shares add up to 323. Round-one line-up (Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Tondelier, Glucksmann, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Le Pen, Zemmour) left out: unknown candidate Natacha POLONY
Every poll published in France must file a notice with the Commission des sondages setting out its sample, dates, question wording and weighting.
Le Pen v Mélenchon
| % | |
|---|---|
 Marine Le Pen |
69 |
 Jean-Luc Mélenchon |
31 |
Le Pen v Glucksmann
| % | |
|---|---|
| Marine Le Pen |
53.5 |
 Raphaël Glucksmann |
46.5 |
Le Pen v Philippe
| % | |
|---|---|
| Marine Le Pen |
52.5 |
 Édouard Philippe |
47.5 |
Against the other polls
Its figures are within a point and a half of the median of the 5 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it.