Polls · Presidential 2027, round two
OpinionWay, 14 October 2026
OpinionWay has Marine Le Pen ahead of Jean-Luc Mélenchon by 36 points, 68% to 32%. Since its previous poll (10 September 2026): Marine Le Pen +1 (67 → 68), Jean-Luc Mélenchon −1 (33 → 32).
| Fieldwork | 13 October 2026 – 14 October 2026 |
|---|---|
| Published | 15 October 2026 |
| For | Cnews |
| Sample | 978 |
| Method | Online |
| Release | release |
| In our average | No: a newer poll by this pollster counts instead, or it is older than the window |
Commission des sondages notice: 10319 Pres IV OPINIONWAY Cnews 15 octobre Share = published (Publié) figure; RawShare = raw (Brut) figure among those certain to vote
Every poll published in France must file a notice with the Commission des sondages setting out its sample, dates, question wording and weighting.
Le Pen v Mélenchon
| % | Raw | |
|---|---|---|
 Marine Le Pen |
68 | 72 |
 Jean-Luc Mélenchon |
32 | 28 |
Le Pen v Philippe
| % | Raw | |
|---|---|---|
| Marine Le Pen |
56 | 56 |
 Édouard Philippe |
44 | 44 |
Le Pen v Glucksmann
| % | Raw | |
|---|---|---|
| Marine Le Pen |
56 | 57 |
 Raphaël Glucksmann |
44 | 43 |
Against the other polls
Its figures are within a point and a half of the median of the 5 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it.