France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 163 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
Closest
Polls · Presidential 2027, round one

Odoxa, 7 October 2026

Odoxa has Marine Le Pen ahead of Jean-Luc Mélenchon by 13 points, 32% to 19%. Since its previous poll (21 May 2026): Jean-Luc Mélenchon +3 (16 → 19).

Fieldwork24 September 2026 – 7 October 2026
Sample12,005
Methodnot verified
Release release
In our averageYes: it is this pollster's latest

Every poll published in France must file a notice with the Commission des sondages setting out its sample, dates, question wording and weighting.

H1: Arthaud, Mélenchon, Roussel, Ruffin, Glucksmann, Attal, Philippe, Lisnard, Dupont-Aignan, Le Pen, Zemmour

%
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen 32
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon 19
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe 17
Raphaël GlucksmannRaphaël Glucksmann 11.5
David LisnardDavid Lisnard 6.5
Éric ZemmourÉric Zemmour 4.5
François RuffinFrançois Ruffin 3
Gabriel AttalGabriel Attal 3
Fabien RousselFabien Roussel 2
Nicolas Dupont-AignanNicolas Dupont-Aignan 2
Nathalie ArthaudNathalie Arthaud 1

H2: Arthaud, Mélenchon, Roussel, Ruffin, Glucksmann, Attal, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Le Pen, Zemmour

%
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen 32
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon 19
Raphaël GlucksmannRaphaël Glucksmann 11.5
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe 11
Bruno RetailleauBruno Retailleau 10
François RuffinFrançois Ruffin 3.5
Gabriel AttalGabriel Attal 3
Éric ZemmourÉric Zemmour 3
Fabien RousselFabien Roussel 2
Nicolas Dupont-AignanNicolas Dupont-Aignan 2
Nathalie ArthaudNathalie Arthaud 1

Against the other polls

Against the median of the 3 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it: Édouard Philippe 17% against 13%; Marine Le Pen 32% against 35%.

Odoxa's previous poll, 21 May 2026 →

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