France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
Closest

Aurel: Aurel ensemble won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Aurel (Vaucluse, INSEE 84005) has 228 registered voters. Its council has 11 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 213 voted, 204 valid votes

  1. Aurel ensembleNo label (small commune) 59.8% · 122 · 9 seats
  2. Avant-tout AurelNo label (small commune) 40.2% · 82 · 2 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Aurel from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 41.7% · France 34.2%
  2. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 11.5% · France 14.3%
  3. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 11.1% · France 7.6%
  4. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 10.5% · France 13.4%
  5. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 10.1% · France 16.8%
  6. Éric ZemmourReconquête 7.7% · France 3.8%
  7. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 3.8% · France 2.1%
  8. Marine TondelierGreens 2.3% · France 2.9%
  9. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.7% · France 0.6%
  10. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 0.6% · France 2.0%

In 2022, round one here: National Rally 29.1% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 23.1% · France Unbowed 14.2% · Reconquête 12.7% · Republicans 7.5%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Vaucluse

Every commune in Vaucluse → · All of France →