France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
Closest

Warlus: Unis pour l'avenir de WARLUS won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Warlus (Pas-de-Calais, INSEE 62878) has 312 registered voters. Its council has 11 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 212 voted, 171 valid votes

  1. Unis pour l'avenir de WARLUSNo label (small commune) 100.0% · 171 · 11 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Warlus

Warlus is a commune in Pas-de-Calais with 312 registered voters, the 496th largest of the département's 886 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 67.9% of them voted, more than the 60.3% across Pas-de-Calais, and Unis pour l'avenir de WARLUS won 11 of the council's 11 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 39.6%, National Rally 26.6%, Republicans 9.5%. France Unbowed did 16 points worse here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 38.6%, with Édouard Philippe on 22.6%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Warlus from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 38.6% · France 34.2%
  2. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 22.6% · France 14.3%
  3. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 13.7% · France 7.6%
  4. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 11.5% · France 13.4%
  5. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 4.2% · France 16.8%
  6. Marine TondelierGreens 2.9% · France 2.9%
  7. Éric ZemmourReconquête 2.2% · France 3.8%
  8. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 1.9% · France 0.6%
  9. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.2% · France 2.0%
  10. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.1% · France 2.1%

In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 39.6% · National Rally 26.6% · Republicans 9.5% · France Unbowed 5.8% · Greens 4.7%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Pas-de-Calais

Every commune in Pas-de-Calais → · All of France →