France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
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France · Every commune · Pas-de-Calais

Carvin: Philippe Kemel's list won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Carvin (Pas-de-Calais, INSEE 62215) has 13,191 registered voters. Its council has 33 seats; the 2026 municipal election went to a second round on 22 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round two, 22 March · 7,409 voted, 7,285 valid votes

  1. ENSEMBLE POUR CARVINLed by Philippe Kemel · Union of the left 51.1% · 3,721 · 26 seats
  2. RENDRE CARVIN PLUS BELLE, PLUS SURE, PLUS JUSTE !Led by Arnaud De Rigne · Rassemblement National 43.9% · 3,195 · 7 seats
  3. CARVIN AVENIRLed by Laurent Dernoncourt · Miscellaneous left 5.1% · 369

Round one, 15 March · 7,130 voted, 7,016 valid votes

  1. ENSEMBLE POUR CARVINUnion of the left 49.1% · 3,443
  2. RENDRE CARVIN PLUS BELLE, PLUS SURE, PLUS JUSTE !Rassemblement National 40.8% · 2,864
  3. CARVIN AVENIRMiscellaneous left 10.1% · 709

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Carvin from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 53.0% · France 34.2%
  2. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 14.4% · France 16.8%
  3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 11.3% · France 13.4%
  4. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 9.2% · France 14.3%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 3.8% · France 7.6%
  6. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 2.8% · France 2.0%
  7. Éric ZemmourReconquête 2.1% · France 3.8%
  8. Marine TondelierGreens 1.6% · France 2.9%
  9. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.4% · France 2.1%
  10. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.6% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: National Rally 40.7% · France Unbowed 21.4% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 19.5% · Reconquête 4.3% · Communist Party 3.4%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Pas-de-Calais

Every commune in Pas-de-Calais → · All of France →