Estaires: ESTAIRES AVEC VOUS won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
Estaires (Nord, INSEE 59212) has 5,294 registered voters. Its council has 29 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 5,294registered voters
- 60%turnout, 2026 round one
- 52.8%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 3,195 voted, 3,126 valid votes
- ESTAIRES AVEC VOUSMiscellaneous centre 61.3% · 1,916 · 24 seats
- Estaires, Votre Ville, Votre VoixMiscellaneous centre 28.9% · 903 · 4 seats
- Estaires au coeurMiscellaneous right 9.8% · 307 · 1 seat
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Estaires from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 52.8% · France 34.2%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 12.4% · France 14.3%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 10.8% · France 13.4%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 9.7% · France 16.8%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 5.2% · France 7.6%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 3.1% · France 3.8%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 2.3% · France 2.0%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.8% · France 2.1%
- Marine TondelierGreens 1.3% · France 2.9%
- Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.7% · France 0.6%
In 2022, round one here: National Rally 39.7% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 25.8% · France Unbowed 14.1% · Reconquête 6.4% · Republicans 3.0%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Nord
- Quesnoy-sur-Deûle5,389 voters · Miscellaneous left
- Waziers5,127 voters · Miscellaneous
- Bourbourg5,080 voters · Miscellaneous left
- Trith-Saint-Léger5,045 voters · Communist
- Cuincy5,012 voters · Miscellaneous left
- Auby4,997 voters · Miscellaneous left
- Templeuve-en-Pévèle5,681 voters · Miscellaneous right
- Santes4,807 voters · Miscellaneous centre