France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
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Tarnos: Tarnos Ensemble won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Tarnos (Landes, INSEE 40312) has 9,936 registered voters. Its council has 33 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 5,885 voted, 5,654 valid votes

  1. Tarnos EnsembleUnion of the left 59.0% · 3,338 · 27 seats
  2. Agir pour TarnosMiscellaneous centre 26.5% · 1,496 · 4 seats
  3. TARNOS POUR TOUSMiscellaneous centre 14.5% · 820 · 2 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Tarnos from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 31.7% · France 34.2%
  2. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 17.2% · France 16.8%
  3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 15.4% · France 13.4%
  4. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 13.2% · France 14.3%
  5. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 7.8% · France 2.0%
  6. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 5.9% · France 7.6%
  7. Éric ZemmourReconquête 3.4% · France 3.8%
  8. Marine TondelierGreens 3.2% · France 2.9%
  9. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.4% · France 2.1%
  10. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.7% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 24.5% · France Unbowed 22.3% · National Rally 19.2% · Communist Party 7.9% · Others 7.3%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Landes

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