Montlaur: Montlaur un avenir commun won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
Montlaur (Haute-Garonne, INSEE 31384) has 1,397 registered voters. Its council has 19 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 1,397registered voters
- 55%turnout, 2026 round one
- 28.7%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 769 voted, 697 valid votes
- Montlaur un avenir communNo label (small commune) 100.0% · 697 · 19 seats
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
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About Montlaur
Montlaur is a commune in Haute-Garonne with 1,397 registered voters, the 121st largest of the département's 586 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 55% of them voted, fewer than the 58.7% across Haute-Garonne, and Montlaur un avenir commun won 19 of the council's 19 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 31.1%, France Unbowed 23.5%, National Rally 17.1%. National Rally did 6 points worse here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 28.7%, with Raphaël Glucksmann on 19.1%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Montlaur from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 28.7% · France 34.2%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 19.1% · France 13.4%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 18.2% · France 16.8%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 17.5% · France 14.3%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 6.1% · France 7.6%
- Marine TondelierGreens 4.1% · France 2.9%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 2.2% · France 2.0%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 1.8% · France 3.8%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.4% · France 2.1%
- Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.7% · France 0.6%
In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 31.1% · France Unbowed 23.5% · National Rally 17.1% · Others 7.2% · Greens 6.0%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Haute-Garonne
- Cépet1,391 voters · No label (small commune)
- Salies-du-Salat1,407 voters · No label (small commune)
- L'Isle-en-Dodon1,385 voters · No label (small commune)
- Lauzerville1,411 voters · No label (small commune)
- Flourens1,430 voters · No label (small commune)
- Beaumont-sur-Lèze1,363 voters · No label (small commune)
- Villaudric1,362 voters · No label (small commune)
- Montaigut-sur-Save1,438 voters · No label (small commune)