France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
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Valence-sur-Baïse: Mathieu Duffillol's list won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Valence-sur-Baïse (Gers, INSEE 32459) has 850 registered voters. Its council has 15 seats; the 2026 municipal election went to a second round on 22 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round two, 22 March · 680 voted, 666 valid votes

  1. AVEC VOUSLed by Mathieu Duffillol · No label (small commune) 56.0% · 373 · 12 seats
  2. POURSUIVONS NOTRE ELAN POUR BÂTIR L'AVENIRLed by Marie-Thérèse Broca-Lannaud · No label (small commune) 44.0% · 293 · 3 seats

Round one, 15 March · 679 voted, 662 valid votes

  1. POURSUIVONS NOTRE ELAN POUR BÂTIR L'AVENIRNo label (small commune) 37.2% · 246
  2. AVEC VOUSNo label (small commune) 34.6% · 229
  3. AVANÇONS ENSEMBLE POUR VALENCENo label (small commune) 28.2% · 187

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Valence-sur-Baïse from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 34.6% · France 34.2%
  2. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 20.8% · France 13.4%
  3. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 13.8% · France 14.3%
  4. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 12.2% · France 16.8%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 8.7% · France 7.6%
  6. Éric ZemmourReconquête 3.9% · France 3.8%
  7. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 2.0% · France 2.0%
  8. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.9% · France 2.1%
  9. Marine TondelierGreens 1.0% · France 2.9%
  10. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 1.0% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 26.5% · National Rally 22.1% · France Unbowed 16.3% · Others 10.9% · Reconquête 7.3%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Gers

Every commune in Gers → · All of France →